app/models/iro/option_black_scholes.rb
require 'distribution' N = Distribution::Normal module Iro::OptionBlackScholes ## ## black-scholes pricing ## =begin ## ## ## annual to daily: AR = ((DR + 1)^365 – 1) x 100 ## ## ## From: https://www.investopedia.com/articles/optioninvestor/07/options_beat_market.asp K :: strike price S_t :: last r :: risk-free rate t :: time to maturity C = S_t N( d1 ) - K e^-rt N( d2 ) d1 = ln( St / K ) + (r + theta**2 / 2 )t /{ theta_s * sqrt( t ) } d2 = d1 - theta_s sqrt( t ) ## ## From: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black%E2%80%93Scholes_model ## D :: e^(rt) # discount factor F :: e^(rt) S # forward price of underlying C(F,t) = D[ N(d1)F - N(d2)K ] d1 = ln(F/K) + stdev**2 t / 2 /{ stdev sqrt(t) } d2 = d1 - stdev sqrt(t) ## ## From: https://www.daytrading.com/options-pricing-models ## C0 = S0N(d1) – Xe-rtN(d2) C0 = current call premium S0 = current stock price N(d1) = the probability that a value in a normal distribution will be less than d N(d2) = the probability that the option will be in the money by expiration X = strike price of the option T = time until expiration (expressed in years) r = risk-free interest rate e = 2.71828, the base of the natural logarithm ln = natural logarithm function σ = standard deviation of the stock’s annualized rate of return (compounded continuously) d1 = ln(S0/X) + (r + σ2/2)Tσ√T d2 = d1 – σ√T Note that: Xe-rt = X/ert = the present value of the strike price using a continuously compounded interest rate ## ## From: https://www.wallstreetmojo.com/black-scholes-model/ ## ## init require 'distribution' N = Distribution::Normal stock = Iro::Stock.find_by ticker: 'NVDA' strike = 910.0 r = Iro::Option.rate_daily stdev = 91.0 t = 7.0 expires_on = '2024-03-22' =end def d1 last = stock.last r = self.class.rate_annual out = Math.log( last / strike ) + ( r + stdev**2 / 2 ) * t out = out /( stdev * Math.sqrt(t) ) return out end def d2 last = stock.last r = self.class.rate_annual out = d1 - stdev * Math.sqrt( t ) return out end def t # t = 1.0 / 365 * Date.today.business_days_until( expires_on ) t = 1.0 / 365 * (expires_on - Date.today).to_i end def stdev recompute = nil stock.stdev( recompute: recompute ) end def call_price last = stock.last r = self.class.rate_annual out = N.cdf( d1 ) * last - N.cdf( d2 ) * strike * Math::E**( -1 * r * t ) return out end def put_price last = stock.last r = self.class.rate_annual out = N.cdf(-d2) * strike * exp(-r*t) - N.cdf(-d1) * last return out end def self.rate_annual 0.05 end =begin # test inn = 100 n.times { inn = inn*(1.0+out) } inn =end def self.rate_daily n = 250.0 # days # n = 12 # months out = (1.0+self.rate_annual)**(1.0/n) - 1.0 puts! out, 'rate_daily' return out end end